03
Feb
2008
Sunday, February 3, 2008
Curt.Smith
Daniels Doing Well; Huckabee Beats Obama, Clinton

     We continue to share some of the highights from the American Viewpoint survey of likely Hoosier voters (n=800).

     The results below show the Governor is doing well in a tough political environment for Republicans and that Huckabee, the most conservative of the three remaining viable GOP candidates, would beat both Barak Obama and Hillary Clinton (leading Democrat candidates) in Indiana.  I was told there were no so-called "head-to-head" match-ups for John McCain and Mitt Romney vs. the Obama and Clinton.  Maybe I'm being spun on that point....but here's the data, which is consistent with polling data I've seen recently (we did a little poll of our own last week in one interesting legislative race) and general trends over 25 years of reading polls as a campaign manager, operative and consultant: 

Verbatim poll results as shared with Veritas Rex:

"Now I am going to read you names of several people who are active in politics today and have you tell me if you are aware or not aware of each one. For those you know, I would like you to tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them… Mitch Daniels57% TOTAL FAVORABLE37% TOTAL UNFAVORABLEPat Bauer 20% TOTAL FAVORABLE18% TOTAL UNFAVORABLEJill Long Thompson22% TOTAL FAVORABLE11% TOTAL UNFAVORABLEJim Schellinger7% TOTAL FAVORABLE4% TOTAL UNFAVORABLEIf the election for President were being held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Mike Huckabee (huck-a-bee), Republican and Hillary Clinton, Democrat for whom would you vote? 53% TOTAL HUCKABEE35% TOTAL CLINTONIf the election for President were being held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Mike Huckabeee (huck-a-bee) Republican and Barack (ba-rock) Obama, Democrat for whom would you vote?

49% TOTAL HUCKABEE36% TOTAL OBAMAIf the election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Mitch Daniels, Republican and Jill Long Thompson, Democrat for whom would you vote? 53% TOTAL DANIELS34% TOTAL LONG-THOMPSON

End of poll report.

     One surprise for me is that Speaker Pat Bauer (D-South Bend) is not better known.  His ratio of negatives to positives seems right to me, but I would have guessed he was better known by likely Hoosier voters recently polled.

Comments: (2)

2 Comments

Comments

Huckabee is more conservative than Romney and even McCain? Depends on your definitions of conservative, I suppose...

Huckabee is significantly more viable than Paul? Depends on your definition of viable, I suppose...

This kind of omission belies the bias of the polls. It frankly puts that whole poll discussion you had earlier into better focus.

By the way, at this point, you could put [random] Republican against [random] Democrat for President in Indiana and get the same results.